2024 Presidential Election Forecast
President Biden Suspends Campaign
As of July 21 at 2 pm Eastern, President Joe Biden has suspended his campaign for the 2024 Democratic Party nomination for president.
Current State Probabilities
This chart visualizes the current probabilities of each candidate winning individual states. Circles positioned further to the left indicate a higher probability of winning.
National Polls
We keep a running average of national head-to-head polls. The average is updated for each candidate in the 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology, and house effects.
Create Your Own Forecast
Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
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